While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. Idaho. An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. because red and blue state designations . Tap or hover to see names. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. Manage Settings With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. Next is Alabama at No. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. Iapologize.). However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. All three of those states were very close in both elections. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) From the 2000-2004 election only three states changed Color. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Tennessee. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. You have to beware with these reports, though. 4, another 2020 red state. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. And West Virginia is losing. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. All Rights Reserved. Election results provided by the Associated Press. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. While I had less reporting on this, high turnout was also reported in the red parts of the state, too. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. But I've got news for them, too. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. All Rights Reserved. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. List Of Blue States And Red States No. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. What are red and blue states? Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. But. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . 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